Tag Archives: Best Actor Oscars

My 2013 Oscar Predictions

Up until the nominations were announced, I assumed Zero Dark Thirty would dominate the Oscars this year.  Ah, no.  Kathryn Bigelow wasn’t even nominated for Best Director.  Now I’d be surprised if the highly-touted film wins any big awards, leaving the door open for Lincoln.  Here are some predictions:


Best Picture:  Lincoln.  You can bank on it.  I’m okay with that.  It’s great.  But Moonrise Kingdom isn’t even nominated???  Seriously?

Best Director:  Steven Spielberg will win his 3rd, now that Bigelow is out of the picture.

Best Actor:  Daniel Day Lewis will also win his 3rd Oscar.  Like a lot of great performances, he had it won just 10 minutes into the film.

Best Actress:  Naomi Watts for Impossible.  Bigelow getting dissed for Director hurts Chastain’s chances.

Best Supporting Actor:  Robert De Niro for Silver Linings PlaybookPlaybook got a ton of noms, but it’s not going to win any others.  This is a crazy tough category this year, but Alan Arkin’s inclusion cheapens it.  (I loved Argo, but his was a throw away role.)  Leonardo DiCaprio was robbed.  I think De Niro will take it because, obviously, he’s a legend, and he hasn’t had a good role in decades.  The academy loves to reward great actors in the twilight of their careers.

Best Supporting Actress: Amy Adams for The Master.  Another tough category.  Conventional wisdom has the Oscar going to either Field or Hathaway.  But, the supporting categories often have upsets.  The Master received a lot of praise, but it’s unlikely to win much.  I think the Academy will throw it a bone.

Best Original Screenplay: Moonrise Kingdom.  The movie is a masterpiece.  The Writer’s Guild is smart enough to recognize it.

Best Adapted Screenplay: Lincoln.  Kushner will add to his Tony.

Best Animated Feature: Frankenweenie.  Tim Burton will finally win one.

Best Foreign Feature: Amour.  Given all the other nominations this French film has received, how can it not win in this category?

Best Visual Effects:  Life of Pi.

Best Cinematography: Skyfall.

Best Costume Design: Les Miserables.  No Hobbit?  Get serious.  As I’ve written in a previous blog, I think this is the biggest joke of any category for the Oscars.  Don’t get me wrong.  Costumes are vital.  The problem?  The films that are nominated, and typically win.  Make a major movie that takes place in the 19th century and you’re pretty much guaranteed an Oscar nom.  Why???  All the costumes were designed and worn 200 years ago.  Why can’t a producer just drag costume makers to an ethnography museum, point at a display, and say, “Make that!”  What exactly do these designers design?  This category should be restricted to fantasy and science fiction films.  Period.

Best Documentary: How to Survive a Plague.  It’s on too many Best of lists to lose.

Best Original Song: “Skyfall.”  Adele’s song is a thing of beauty.

Best Makeup:  The Hobbit.  Probably the only one the film will win.

Best Production Design: Les Miserables.

Yeah, I know.  There are other categories.  But who can predict Sound Mixing or Best Documentary Short.  Not me.  I haven’t even seen all the Best Picture Noms…


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Cinematic Interlude: How to Win an Oscar

It’s that time of the year again. Stories about ill-gotten Oscars blanket the internet. We’re reminded that many truly crappy films have won “Best Picture” (Chicago, Crash, Titanic, Out of Africa, Million Dollar Baby, Oliver! blah, blah, blah), and that if an actor wants to make the final cut, a good way to do it is to play a handicapped person, as long as you heed Robert Downey’s advice in Tropic Thunder and don’t go “full retard.” (Colin Firth takes the advice in “The King’s Speech.”) Another sure bet for actors is to play a real person. In just the past 10 years, actors have won for portraying Queen Elizabeth, June Carter, Ray Charles, Harvey Milk, Truman Capote, Idi Amin, Wladyslaw Szpilman (The Pianist), Leigh Anne Tuohy (The Blind Side), Edith Piaf, Aileen Wuornos (Monster), Virginia Woolf and Erin Brockovich. This year Colin Firth, who plays King George VI, is fighting it out with James Franco (127 Hours) and Jesse Eisenberg (The Social Network).

Still, you got to get the roles, and pretty much all those acting Oscars were well-deserved. I don’t want to gripe about them. Intead, I wanna bitch about truly stupid Oscars, even worse than the ones “Chicago” got. Let’s start with one specific award given in 2002. “Frida” won Best Make Up. Ever seen it? A good enough film, but “Best Make Up?” I remember watching the Oscar telecast. Selma Hayak, who portrays Frida Kahlo, went nuts. For what? An eyebrow. That’s pretty much the height of the make up in that film. Frida Kahlo’s unibrow. Other films that came out that year? The Two Towers, The Time Machine, Harry Potter and the Chamber of Secrets, Star Wars: The Attack of the Clones, Star Trek: Nemesis…Even if you don’t like genre films like this, can you acknowledge that their make up teams had a few more challenges than giving Selma Hayak a unibrow???

There are two Oscar categories I truly hate: Best Song and Best Costumes. Best Costumes? Damn straight. I’m pleased when films that go all out (LOTR, Harry Potter, etc) get the award, but more often than not it goes to a so-called “costume” drama, a Jane Austin adaptation or something. What exactly do the costume designers “design” for such films??? Can’t they just drag their team to an ethnography museum in London, point to a dress and say, “Make that?”

Best Song. Ugh. I was pleased last year when the telecast did not have some aging pop stars sing their crappy little Disney songs, and we didn’t have to hear all the tired jokes about Randy Newman’s latest nomination. In some cases, a winning song is absolutely essential to the movie. That’s especially true in musicals like “Once.” Other movies revolve around a song, like “Hustle and Flow,” and that song, if it’s good, should be recognized. But how many songs win that you don’t even remember hearing in the movie? Sometimes the song is played over the credits, but if it’s a long movie you’re too busy running to the john to listen to it, and who watches credits on dvds? Cher raised a fuss about some crappy song from her crappy movie “Burlesque” not getting nominated this year. Maybe I am a little sad about that. Maybe in the middle of the song, on live tv in front of millions of viewers, she would’ve died. I don’t mean bombed, like screwing up the lyrics or something, but literally dying. She just keels over and croaks, hitting the stage and, because of all the “work” that’s been done on her, she shatters like a porcelain vase. Then every time she resurfaces after two years of surgery and recovery in South Africa, we wouldn’t have to listen to all the bonehead celebrities talk about how great she looks.

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